Alabama vs Georgia 12/1/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Georgia. AJ McCarron is averaging 205 passing yards and 1.48 TDs per simulation and Eddie Lacy is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Georgia wins, Aaron Murray averages 1.86 TD passes vs 0.44 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Todd Gurley averages 87 rushing yards and 0.82 rushing TDs when Georgia wins and 74 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 33% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GA +8 --- Over/Under line is 51
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